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Friday 30 October Gold Recap: Extreme Move of -3.6%, Range $156

On Friday 30 October 2026 gold closed at $3,875, a move of -3.63%. That is a extreme day: 3.6 times a normal daily move, with a range wider than 98% of days in our 16-year history.

YeliasPublished 30 October 20262 min read
$3,875Close
-3.63%Move3.6 times a normal day
$156Rangewider than 98% of days

The day in numbers

OpenHighLowCloseMoveRange
$4,026$4,026$3,870$3,875-3.63%$156 (3.89%)
Prices in US dollars for Friday 30 October 2026. The day follows the broker's clock, which turns over at the New York close.

Gold's last 15 daily moves

Close-to-close, percent; the gold bar is Friday 30 October 2026

-20-0.5%12-0.3%13-1.3%141.6%15-0.1%16-0.6%19-0.4%200.4%21-2.8%22-0.7%230.5%261.1%270.2%28-1.1%29-3.6%30
Green is a rise, red a fall. Today's bar is gold.

How big was it?

The move of -3.63% was 3.6 times a normal daily move, which makes it a extreme day. Its high-to-low range of $156 was wider than 98% of all days since 2010, and the size of the close-to-close move ranks above 99% of them.

Gold's daily range, last 40 trading days

High minus low as a share of the previous close

1%2%3%4%7 Sep30 Oct
Volatility comes in waves: quiet stretches tend to be followed by quiet days, busy stretches by busy ones.

How our forecast did

We did not have a logged forecast for this day. Forecasts are saved before the day opens and are never added afterwards, so there is nothing to score here.

What was on the calendar

ReleaseWhen
US labour costs (ECI)Fri 30 Oct, 12:30 UTC (08:30 Eastern)
From the official BLS and Federal Reserve schedules.

What it means for risk

A normal full day in gold is about $41 right now (one standard daily move). Today travelled $156 from low to high, which is 3.8 times that. If your stop was $21 away, it would have been touched by the day's range alone, before any view about direction.

  • Quiet days (under half a normal move) are the minority, so a tight stop is exposed on most sessions.
  • Size is set by the stop, not the other way round. See position sizing and risk of ruin.
  • Volatility clusters. A busy day makes the next day more likely to be busy too, which is why the ranges in our daily outlooks change from day to day.

Where this sits in the last two years

Gold's range today of 3.89% compares with an average of 1.80% over the last 30 trading days and 2.51% over the last 250. Today's move of -3.63% was above the size of an average day (1.27%) over the last year.

Frequently asked questions

How wide is a normal day for gold right now?

A standard daily move is about $41, based on the previous 20 daily moves. A full high-to-low range is usually somewhat wider.

How did gold do on Friday 30 October 2026?

Gold closed at $3,875, a move of -3.63% from the previous close, with a high of $4,026 and a low of $3,870.

Was it a big day for gold?

It was a extreme day: 3.6 times a normal daily move, with a range wider than 98% of days since 2010.

Sources and method

  • Daily bars from our own MetaTrader 5 history for XAUUSD; a normal daily move is the standard deviation of the previous 20 daily moves.
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Yelias, GoldTriEngine. We trade gold with an automated EA and publish every trade in public. Everything here is built from that live data. See the live account or the EA.

Not financial advice. This is education and research, not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Trading gold and CFDs carries a high risk of loss, and past results, back-tests and forecasts do not guarantee future results. Read our risk disclaimer. Numbers in this article are computed by our own software from our own price data and trading account; drafting is assisted by AI. Written under the name Yelias.
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